By J. Taylor
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Extra info for Aboriginal Population Profiles for Development Planning in the Northern East Kimberley
Based on 2001 ABS ERP By contrast, the non-Indigenous age distribution is typical of a population that is subject to selective inter-regional migration producing net gains among those of working age and their accompanying children, and net losses in the teen ages and at retirement. Underlying this pattern are high rates of population turnover (Taylor and Bell 1999). Furthermore, stability in the shape of the non-Indigenous age pyramid over time reflects the on-going role of this region within the Western Australian economy as a place of selective migration tied to short-term employment opportunity (Bell and Maher 1995).
In effect, the past 30 years have witnessed a simple shift from an historical Aboriginal association with private sector employment in the form of the pastoral industry, to an association with the government sector in the form of CDEP. Beyond this, as noted, only 16% of Aboriginal adults now participate in the mainstream labour market compared to 82% of non-Aboriginal residents. This structural gap in employment, together with low levels of Aboriginal labour force participation, has significant consequences for current Aboriginal economic status, as well as for consideration of future options regarding Aboriginal participation in the regional economy.
For these reasons, projections of the non-Indigenous population are not presented here. 7. 7 by five year age group, together with numeric and percentage change from the 2001 ERP. 3% per annum) to reach a population of 8,098, an increase of just over 2,000 persons. If the Northern East Kimberley retains its 2001 share of this wider regional population (72%), then the projected Indigenous population of the study region in 2016 will be 5,831 (an increase of 1,514). As shown by the percentage change by age group, much of this growth will occur in the working age groups with the population aged between 15 and 50 years increasing by some 1,338.
Aboriginal Population Profiles for Development Planning in the Northern East Kimberley by J. Taylor